January 9, 2015

WHY PROSPECT LISTS ARE TENUOUS

Baseball America, the publication guru of all things baseball prospects, has revised its current Cub top prospect list:


1. Kris Bryant
2. Addison Russell
3. Jorge Soler
4. Kyle Schwarber
5. C.J. Edwards
6. Billy McKinney
7. Albert Almora
8. Gleyber Torres
9. Pierce Johnson
10. Duane Underwood

Compare to the 2013 list:

1. Baez, on major league roster, potential starter at 2B
2. Bryant
3. Edwards, starting to fall
4. Almora, falling for a #1 pick
5. Soler, on major league roster, RF starter
6. Johnson, falling
7. Alcantara, must no longer a prospect but average CF in 2015
8. Jeimer Candelario, fallen
9. Dan Vogelbach, fallen and blocked by Rizzo
10. Arodys Vizcaino, out of the organization.

Only three of the top prospects made it to the Cubs roster (30%), perhaps a higher percentage than normal because the Cubs 25 Man Roster was nothing more than AAA talent for the last three years.